07 Aug This Real Estate Market Is the Strongest of Our Lifetime
When you look at the numbers today, the one thing that stands out is the strength of this housing market. We can see this is one of the most foundationally strong housing markets of our lifetime β if not the strongest housing market of our lifetime. Here are two fundamentals that prove this point.
1. The Current Mortgage Rate on Existing Mortgages
First, letβs look at the current rate on existing mortgages. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), as of the fourth quarter of last year, over 80% of existing mortgages have a rate below 5%. Thatβs significant. And, to take that one step further, over 50% of mortgages have a rate below 4% (see graph below):
Now, thereβs a lot of talk in the media about a potential foreclosure crisis or a rise of homeowners defaulting on their loans, but consider this: Homeowners with such good mortgage rates are going to work as hard as they can to keep their mortgage rate and stay in their homes. Thatβs because they canβt go out and buy another house, or even rent an apartment, and pay what they do today. Their current mortgage payment is more affordable. Even if they downsize, with todayβs higher mortgage rates, it could cost more.
Hereβs why this gives the housing market such a solid foundation today. Having so many homeowners with such low mortgage rates helps us avoid a crisis with a flood of foreclosures coming to market like there was back in 2008 – when many Adjustable Rate Mortgages were in use as well.
2. The Amount of Homeowner Equity
Second, Americans are sitting on tremendous equity right now. According to the Census and ATTOM, roughly two-thirds (around 68%) of homeowners have either paid off their mortgage or have at least 50% equity (see chart below):
In the industry, the term for this is equity rich. This is significant because if you think back to 2008, some people had to make the difficult decision to walk away from their homes because they owed more on the home than it was worth.
But this time, things are different because homeowners have built up so much equity over the past few years alone. And, when homeowners have that much equity, it helps us avoid another wave of distressed properties coming onto the market like we saw during the crash. It also creates an extremely strong foundation for todayβs housing market; another reason why things are fundamentally different than in 2008.
Your team at Colucci & Co. Realty is always here to offer further insight. Feel free to reach out anytime.
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